Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.066151 0.074616 0.083262 0.092724 0.102756 0.113048 0.124378
2025-08-17 0.052510 0.064928 0.078217 0.093361 0.110012 0.127648 0.147627
2025-08-24 0.041413 0.055765 0.071780 0.090661 0.112027 0.135208 0.162022
2025-08-31 0.033343 0.048765 0.066658 0.088397 0.113603 0.141487 0.174273
2025-09-07 0.028681 0.045122 0.064844 0.089396 0.118411 0.150988 0.189757
2025-09-14 0.025270 0.042571 0.063965 0.091174 0.123846 0.160981 0.205608
2025-09-21 0.023266 0.041562 0.064768 0.094791 0.131300 0.173185 0.223895
2025-09-28 0.020521 0.039250 0.063700 0.095931 0.135654 0.181678 0.237827
2025-10-05 0.020646 0.040875 0.067663 0.103297 0.147493 0.198935 0.261915
2025-10-12 0.017658 0.037759 0.065217 0.102448 0.149240 0.204217 0.272011
2025-10-19 0.015939 0.036323 0.064873 0.104164 0.154042 0.213057 0.286217
2025-10-26 0.013988 0.034322 0.063616 0.104589 0.157160 0.219826 0.297942
2025-11-02 0.012431 0.032897 0.063219 0.106294 0.162122 0.229128 0.313079
2025-11-09 0.010684 0.030962 0.061998 0.106862 0.165654 0.236741 0.326292
2025-11-16 0.008290 0.027510 0.058323 0.103934 0.164583 0.238629 0.332563
2025-11-23 0.006371 0.024550 0.055138 0.101488 0.163988 0.240990 0.339310
2025-11-30 0.005427 0.023351 0.054549 0.102567 0.167909 0.248883 0.352703
2025-12-07 0.004748 0.022593 0.054588 0.104485 0.172901 0.258091 0.367684
2025-12-14 0.004474 0.022714 0.056023 0.108386 0.180507 0.270567 0.386654
2025-12-21 0.003803 0.021754 0.055625 0.109613 0.184548 0.278572 0.400174
2025-12-28 0.004201 0.023539 0.059829 0.117538 0.197535 0.297832 0.427477
2026-01-04 0.003289 0.021771 0.057994 0.116626 0.198698 0.302216 0.436580
2026-01-11 0.002851 0.021157 0.058065 0.118470 0.203531 0.311211 0.451328